Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryOneil
10HR →19
49R →63
40RBI →61
7SB →28
.302AVG ←.242
Current Season
BrandonCategoryOneil
5HR →13
29R →42
24RBI →41
4SB →19
.317AVG ←.255
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Marsh
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.407 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.335 is 0.032 below the surface — regression coming
Oneil Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.353, +0.038 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 35% is stable and high — caps the floor
Cruz outpaces Marsh in power (19 HR to 10) and steals (28 SB to 7). Verdicts are clear: sell Marsh's .302 AVG while buy Cruz's multi-category ceiling.