Rest of Season Projection
JacksonCategorySpencer
14HR ←13
41R →54
33RBI33
16SB ←5
.242AVG →.274
Current Season
JacksonCategorySpencer
5HR →7
26R →34
21RBI21
10SB ←3
.209AVG →.272
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jackson Merrill
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.260 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Spencer Steer
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.377, +0.062 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Jackson Merrill: 14 HR / 41 R. Spencer Steer: 13 HR / 54 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).