Rest of Season Projection
JacksonCategoryJake
14HR ←5
41R ←38
33RBI →48
16SB →19
.242AVG →.258
Current Season
JacksonCategoryJake
5HR ←4
26R ←20
21RBI →25
10SB10
.209AVG →.288
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jackson Merrill
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.260 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Jake McCarthy
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.339 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.323 is 0.030 below the surface — regression coming
Jackson Merrill: 14 HR / 41 R. Jake McCarthy: 5 HR / 38 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).