MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
Portrait of Joe Ryan
Joe Ryan
MIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Payton Tolle
Payton Tolle
BOS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Joe Ryan.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and wins.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Joe Ryan wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, W); Payton Tolle wins 1 (ERA); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Joe Ryan
93.5
Payton Tolle
96.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Joe Ryan
13.2%
Payton Tolle
14.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Joe Ryan
27.8%
Payton Tolle
26.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Joe Ryan
32.2%
Payton Tolle
34.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Joe Ryan
42.1%
Payton Tolle
34.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Joe Ryan
11.3%
Payton Tolle
7.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Joe Ryan
.290
Payton Tolle
.267
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Joe Ryan
2.263.83
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.20
3.48
Payton Tolle
2.263.83
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.61
2.93
WHIPlower is better
Joe Ryan
.9001.33
now 0.97
1.12
Payton Tolle
.9001.33
now 0.90
1.21

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Joe Ryan
4092.20
now 79
55
Payton Tolle
4092.20
now 46
52
Winshigher is better
Joe Ryan
.0005.20
now 4
24
Payton Tolle
.0005.20
now 2
13

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyJoe Ryan — buy.conf 0.79
BuyPayton Tolle — buy.conf 0.92
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