Rest of Season Projection
JoelCategoryMark
25K →38
3.73ERA3.72
1.25WHIP →1.24
1–2W ←0–0
4–8SV4–8
Current Season
JoelCategoryMark
13K →25
3.04ERA ←5.47
1.18WHIP ←1.46
1W ←0
4SV4
What Each Player's System Trusts
Joel Kuhnel
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.62)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Mark Leiter Jr.
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.11 is right around league — a usable arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.342 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Joel Kuhnel: 25 K / 3.73 ERA. Mark Leiter Jr.: 38 K / 3.72 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).