MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 23, 2026
Portrait of Joel Kuhnel
Joel Kuhnel
MIL · P
Change to
Portrait of Matt Festa
Matt Festa
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Matt Festa.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Joel Kuhnel’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Matt Festa wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Joel Kuhnel wins 1 (SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Joel Kuhnel
95.1
Matt Festa
92.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Joel Kuhnel
10.7%
Matt Festa
13.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Joel Kuhnel
14.0%
Matt Festa
24.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Joel Kuhnel
29.2%
Matt Festa
31.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Joel Kuhnel
39.5%
Matt Festa
40.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Joel Kuhnel
5.9%
Matt Festa
9.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Joel Kuhnel
.355
Matt Festa
.320
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Joel Kuhnel
2.385.34
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.04
3.76
Matt Festa
2.385.34
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.68
3.73
WHIPlower is better
Joel Kuhnel
1.111.32
now 1.18
1.25
Matt Festa
1.111.32
now 1.24
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Joel Kuhnel
4033
now 13
12
Matt Festa
4033
now 27
22
Winshigher is better
Joel Kuhnel
.0001.48
now 1
11
Matt Festa
.0001.48
now 1
01
Saveshigher is better
Joel Kuhnel
.0005.60
now 4
24
Matt Festa
.0005.60
now 1
01
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJoel Kuhnel — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeMatt Festa — hold.conf 0.50
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