MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Erik Miller
Erik Miller
BOS · P
Change to
Portrait of Matt Festa
Matt Festa
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Erik Miller wins 1 (ERA); Matt Festa wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Erik Miller
96.8
Matt Festa
92.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Erik Miller
14.0%
Matt Festa
13.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Erik Miller
32.6%
Matt Festa
23.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Erik Miller
27.2%
Matt Festa
31.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Erik Miller
26.3%
Matt Festa
38.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Erik Miller
5.3%
Matt Festa
7.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Erik Miller
.275
Matt Festa
.305
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Erik Miller
2.545.29
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.41
3.15
Matt Festa
2.545.29
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.68
3.84
WHIPlower is better
Erik Miller
1.171.48
now 1.41
1.38
Matt Festa
1.171.48
now 1.24
1.28

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Erik Miller
4037.80
now 24
0
Matt Festa
4037.80
now 27
0
Winshigher is better
Erik Miller
.0001.48
now 0
0–0
Matt Festa
.0001.48
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyErik Miller — buy.conf 0.89
Hold · leans buyMatt Festa — hold.conf 0.60
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