Rest of Season Projection
MattCategoryTaylor
38K ←24
3.69ERA →3.66
1.24WHIP1.24
1–2W →2–5
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
MattCategoryTaylor
27K ←12
4.68ERA →1.80
1.24WHIP →0.68
1W →2
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Matt Festa
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.37)
Taylor Clarke
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.177 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.86 is 1.19 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Matt Festa: 38 K / 3.69 ERA. Taylor Clarke: 24 K / 3.66 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).