MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Matt Festa
Matt Festa
CLE · P
Change to
Portrait of Ryan Yarbrough
Ryan Yarbrough
NYY · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Matt Festa wins 1 (WHIP); Ryan Yarbrough wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Matt Festa
92.7
Ryan Yarbrough
87.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Matt Festa
13.3%
Ryan Yarbrough
12.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Matt Festa
23.9%
Ryan Yarbrough
18.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Matt Festa
31.3%
Ryan Yarbrough
28.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Matt Festa
38.3%
Ryan Yarbrough
25.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Matt Festa
7.8%
Ryan Yarbrough
3.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Matt Festa
.305
Ryan Yarbrough
.285
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Matt Festa
2.875.20
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.68
3.84
Ryan Yarbrough
2.875.20
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.66
3.39
WHIPlower is better
Matt Festa
1.031.44
now 1.24
1.28
Ryan Yarbrough
1.031.44
now 1.12
1.35

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Matt Festa
4037.80
now 27
0
Ryan Yarbrough
4037.80
now 14
0
Winshigher is better
Matt Festa
.0001.48
now 1
0–0
Ryan Yarbrough
.0001.48
now 0
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans buyMatt Festa — hold.conf 0.60
BuyRyan Yarbrough — buy.conf 0.81
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