MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Kilian
Caleb Kilian
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Ryan Yarbrough
Ryan Yarbrough
NYY · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Caleb Kilian wins 1 (WHIP); Ryan Yarbrough wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
96.8
Ryan Yarbrough
87.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
13.6%
Ryan Yarbrough
12.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
26.8%
Ryan Yarbrough
18.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
32.7%
Ryan Yarbrough
28.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
34.9%
Ryan Yarbrough
25.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
8.5%
Ryan Yarbrough
3.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
.292
Ryan Yarbrough
.285
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Kilian
3.174.03
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.81
3.57
Ryan Yarbrough
3.174.03
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.66
3.39
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Kilian
1.031.44
now 1.15
1.32
Ryan Yarbrough
1.031.44
now 1.12
1.35

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
4040.60
now 29
0
Ryan Yarbrough
4040.60
now 14
0
Winshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.0002.80
now 2
0–0
Ryan Yarbrough
.0002.80
now 0
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyCaleb Kilian — buy.conf 0.76
BuyRyan Yarbrough — buy.conf 0.81
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