Rest of Season Projection
JohnCategoryRyan
29K →41
3.74ERA ←4.10
1.25WHIP ←1.27
0–0W0–0
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
JohnCategoryRyan
13K →29
2.74ERA ←5.35
1.30WHIP ←1.46
0W0
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
John Schreiber
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.99 is 2.03 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Ryan Watson
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (6.88)
John Schreiber: 29 K / 3.74 ERA. Ryan Watson: 41 K / 4.10 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).