MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
Portrait of Ryan Watson
Ryan Watson
BOS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cade Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, wins, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cade Smith wins 5 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, W, SV); Ryan Watson wins 0 (none).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cade Smith
96.9
Ryan Watson
94.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
17.0%
Ryan Watson
11.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
34.8%
Ryan Watson
18.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cade Smith
33.5%
Ryan Watson
30.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
45.2%
Ryan Watson
39.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
10.4%
Ryan Watson
11.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cade Smith
.286
Ryan Watson
.375
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cade Smith
26.45
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.68
Ryan Watson
26.45
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.35
5.29
WHIPlower is better
Cade Smith
.9301.61
now 1.08
1.23
Ryan Watson
.9301.61
now 1.46
1.36

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cade Smith
4049.60
now 42
34
Ryan Watson
4049.60
now 29
23
Winshigher is better
Cade Smith
.0002.80
now 2
12
Ryan Watson
.0002.80
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Cade Smith
.00029.40
now 20
1121
Ryan Watson
.00029.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCade Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighRyan Watson — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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