Rest of Season Projection
JordanCategoryTroy
14HR ←8
59R ←38
65RBI ←41
11SB ←5
.257AVG →.297
Current Season
JordanCategoryTroy
15HR ←2
39R ←23
43RBI ←25
7SB ←3
.284AVG →.312
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jordan Walker
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.370, +0.055 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Troy Johnston
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.404 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.330 is 0.033 below the surface — regression coming
Jordan Walker: 14 HR / 59 R. Troy Johnston: 8 HR / 38 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).