MLB Daily DeltaWeek 28 · October 3, 2026
Portrait of José Alvarado
José Alvarado
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Orion Kerkering
Orion Kerkering
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

José Alvarado wins 1 (WHIP); Orion Kerkering wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
José Alvarado
97.2
Orion Kerkering
97.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
12.4%
Orion Kerkering
11.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
25.6%
Orion Kerkering
23.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
José Alvarado
31.7%
Orion Kerkering
28.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
31.7%
Orion Kerkering
31.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
4.3%
Orion Kerkering
6.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
José Alvarado
.312
Orion Kerkering
.303
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
José Alvarado
26.81
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.97
Orion Kerkering
26.81
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.53
3.81
WHIPlower is better
José Alvarado
.9002.08
now 1.81
1.40
Orion Kerkering
.9002.08
now 1.13
1.42

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
José Alvarado
4036.40
now 26
0
Orion Kerkering
4036.40
now 23
0
Winshigher is better
José Alvarado
.0004.20
now 1
0–0
Orion Kerkering
.0004.20
now 3
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Hold · leans buyOrion Kerkering — hold.conf 0.60
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