MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 11, 2026
Portrait of Josh Naylor
Josh Naylor
SEA · 1B
Change to
Portrait of Spencer Steer
Spencer Steer
CIN · 1B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Josh Naylor.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — RBI, steals, and average. Spencer Steer’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Josh Naylor wins 3 categories (RBI, SB, AVG); Spencer Steer wins 2 (HR, R).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Josh Naylor
87.6
Spencer Steer
89.6
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Josh Naylor
37.4%
Spencer Steer
38.3%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Josh Naylor
4.7%
Spencer Steer
12.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Josh Naylor
37.4%
Spencer Steer
25.7%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Josh Naylor
9.8%
Spencer Steer
11.6%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Josh Naylor
.317
Spencer Steer
.342
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Josh Naylor
.220.290
lg AVG .295
now .254
.253
Spencer Steer
.220.290
lg AVG .295
now .272
.233

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Josh Naylor
58.20
now 6
4
Spencer Steer
58.20
now 7
6
Runshigher is better
Josh Naylor
2040
now 21
19
Spencer Steer
2040
now 34
32
RBIhigher is better
Josh Naylor
2028.20
now 25
22
Spencer Steer
2028.20
now 21
20
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Josh Naylor
.00015.60
now 12
11
Spencer Steer
.00015.60
now 3
3
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyJosh Naylor — hold.conf 0.60
BuySpencer Steer — buy.conf 0.65
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