MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Julian Garcia
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Richard Lovelady
Richard Lovelady
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Julian Garcia.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Richard Lovelady’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Julian Garcia wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Richard Lovelady wins 1 (SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Julian Garcia
92.4
Richard Lovelady
91.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Julian Garcia
13.4%
Richard Lovelady
10.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Julian Garcia
24.2%
Richard Lovelady
18.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Julian Garcia
30.9%
Richard Lovelady
29.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Julian Garcia
32.0%
Richard Lovelady
32.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Julian Garcia
4.9%
Richard Lovelady
6.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Julian Garcia
.262
Richard Lovelady
.363
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Julian Garcia
2.576.21
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.40
3.70
Richard Lovelady
2.576.21
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.38
3.77
WHIPlower is better
Julian Garcia
.9801.97
now 1.20
1.24
Richard Lovelady
.9801.97
now 1.75
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Julian Garcia
4028.20
now 3
9
Richard Lovelady
4028.20
now 21
4
Winshigher is better
Julian Garcia
.0002.80
now 0
00
Richard Lovelady
.0002.80
now 2
01
Saveshigher is better
Julian Garcia
.0005.60
now 0
0
Richard Lovelady
.0005.60
now 4
11
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJulian Garcia — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeRichard Lovelady — hold.conf 0.50
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