MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
Portrait of Justin Sterner
Justin Sterner
ATH · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Rogers
Tyler Rogers
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Justin Sterner wins 2 (K, WHIP); Tyler Rogers wins 2 (ERA, SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Justin Sterner
93.5
Tyler Rogers
83.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Justin Sterner
15.6%
Tyler Rogers
7.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Justin Sterner
21.7%
Tyler Rogers
13.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Justin Sterner
33.9%
Tyler Rogers
28.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Justin Sterner
45.0%
Tyler Rogers
25.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Justin Sterner
9.2%
Tyler Rogers
1.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Justin Sterner
.292
Tyler Rogers
.250
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Justin Sterner
24.22
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.54
3.69
Tyler Rogers
24.22
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.36
3.63
WHIPlower is better
Justin Sterner
1.041.32
now 1.11
1.24
Tyler Rogers
1.041.32
now 1.13
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Justin Sterner
4031.60
now 26
19
Tyler Rogers
4031.60
now 16
12
Winshigher is better
Justin Sterner
.0002.80
now 2
12
Tyler Rogers
.0002.80
now 1
01
Saveshigher is better
Justin Sterner
.0003.40
now 0
0
Tyler Rogers
.0003.40
now 2
12
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJustin Sterner — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighTyler Rogers — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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