MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 17, 2026
Portrait of Justin Sterner
Justin Sterner
ATH · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Alexander
Tyler Alexander
TEX · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Justin Sterner.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and wins.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Justin Sterner wins 2 categories (K, W); Tyler Alexander wins 1 (SV); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Justin Sterner
93.5
Tyler Alexander
91.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Justin Sterner
15.5%
Tyler Alexander
9.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Justin Sterner
22.6%
Tyler Alexander
22.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Justin Sterner
34.1%
Tyler Alexander
31.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Justin Sterner
45.2%
Tyler Alexander
35.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Justin Sterner
9.5%
Tyler Alexander
3.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Justin Sterner
.286
Tyler Alexander
.274
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Justin Sterner
2.903.90
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.54
3.68
Tyler Alexander
2.903.90
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.12
3.67
WHIPlower is better
Justin Sterner
11.49
now 1.11
1.24
Tyler Alexander
11.49
now 1.38
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Justin Sterner
4031.60
now 26
22
Tyler Alexander
4031.60
now 21
17
Winshigher is better
Justin Sterner
.0002.80
now 2
12
Tyler Alexander
.0002.80
now 1
01
Saveshigher is better
Justin Sterner
.0004.40
now 0
0
Tyler Alexander
.0004.40
now 2
13
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJustin Sterner — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeTyler Alexander — hold.conf 0.50
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