Rest of Season Projection
KazumaCategoryZack
15HR ←10
44R ←43
52RBI ←39
0SB →12
.202AVG →.228
Current Season
KazumaCategoryZack
12HR ←6
28R ←21
33RBI ←19
0SB →6
.214AVG →.259
What Each Player's System Trusts
Kazuma Okamoto
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.332, +0.017 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Zack Gelof
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.320 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.294 is 0.030 below the surface — regression coming
Kazuma Okamoto: 15 HR / 44 R. Zack Gelof: 10 HR / 43 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).