MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 28, 2026
Portrait of Kevin Kelly
Kevin Kelly
TB · P
Change to
Portrait of Rico Garcia
Rico Garcia
BAL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Kevin Kelly wins 1 (WHIP); Rico Garcia wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Kevin Kelly
93.2
Rico Garcia
95.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Kevin Kelly
11.9%
Rico Garcia
15.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Kevin Kelly
22.6%
Rico Garcia
25.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Kevin Kelly
34.6%
Rico Garcia
29.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Kevin Kelly
44.6%
Rico Garcia
34.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Kevin Kelly
5.9%
Rico Garcia
5.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Kevin Kelly
.284
Rico Garcia
.265
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Kevin Kelly
24.43
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.67
3.37
Rico Garcia
24.43
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.71
2.92
WHIPlower is better
Kevin Kelly
.9001.46
now 0.81
1.12
Rico Garcia
.9001.46
now 0.63
1.22

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Kevin Kelly
4039.20
now 19
0
Rico Garcia
4039.20
now 28
0
Winshigher is better
Kevin Kelly
.0004.20
now 3
0–0
Rico Garcia
.0004.20
now 3
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighKevin Kelly — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
BuyRico Garcia — buy.conf 0.92
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