MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 25, 2026
Portrait of Kevin Kelly
Kevin Kelly
TB · P
Change to
Ryan Walker
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Ryan Walker.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and saves. Kevin Kelly’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Ryan Walker wins 2 categories (K, SV); Kevin Kelly wins 1 (W); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Kevin Kelly
93.1
Ryan Walker
94.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Kevin Kelly
9.2%
Ryan Walker
7.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Kevin Kelly
21.2%
Ryan Walker
19.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Kevin Kelly
31.4%
Ryan Walker
26.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Kevin Kelly
48.4%
Ryan Walker
29.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Kevin Kelly
8.4%
Ryan Walker
5.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Kevin Kelly
.308
Ryan Walker
.316
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Kevin Kelly
27.98
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.67
3.71
Ryan Walker
27.98
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.46
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Kevin Kelly
.9002.32
now 0.81
1.24
Ryan Walker
.9002.32
now 1.89
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Kevin Kelly
4037.80
now 19
22
Ryan Walker
4037.80
now 14
31
Winshigher is better
Kevin Kelly
.0007
now 3
25
Ryan Walker
.0007
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Kevin Kelly
.0009.40
now 2
14
Ryan Walker
.0009.40
now 3
47
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighKevin Kelly — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Buy LowRyan Walker — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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