Rest of Season Projection
KevinCategoryRyne
28K →49
3.69ERA ←3.71
1.24WHIP ←1.25
2–7W ←1–2
1–5SV ←1–3
Current Season
KevinCategoryRyne
19K →30
2.67ERA ←5.56
0.81WHIP ←1.76
3W ←1
2SV ←1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Kevin Kelly
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.219 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.55 is 0.98 above the ERA — regression coming
Ryne Stanek
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.328 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Kevin Kelly: 28 K / 3.69 ERA. Ryne Stanek: 49 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).