Rest of Season Projection
JasonCategoryRyne
32K →51
3.70ERA3.71
1.24WHIP ←1.25
2–5W ←1–3
1–3SV1–3
Current Season
JasonCategoryRyne
11K →30
0.90ERA ←5.56
1.00WHIP ←1.76
2W ←1
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jason Adam
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.246 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.04 is 1.33 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Ryne Stanek
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.344 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Jason Adam: 32 K / 3.70 ERA. Ryne Stanek: 51 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).