Rest of Season Projection
KumarCategoryPaul
83K →126
4.44ERA →2.28
1.42WHIP →1.04
2–5W →6–14
0SV0
Current Season
KumarCategoryPaul
44K →75
3.54ERA →2.89
1.32WHIP →0.86
2W →6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Kumar Rocker
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.268 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.62 is 1.08 above the ERA — regression coming
Paul Skenes
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 2.28, 1.82 below league — production is earned
Kumar Rocker: 83 K / 4.44 ERA. Paul Skenes: 126 K / 2.28 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).