MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 31, 2026
Kyle Backhus
PHI · P
Change to
Randy Dobnak
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Randy Dobnak.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts. Kyle Backhus’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Randy Dobnak wins 1 categories (K); Kyle Backhus wins 0 (none); 3 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Kyle Backhus
90.7
Randy Dobnak
92.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Kyle Backhus
8.5%
Randy Dobnak
8.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Kyle Backhus
21.4%
Randy Dobnak
13.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Kyle Backhus
29.9%
Randy Dobnak
31.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Kyle Backhus
33.3%
Randy Dobnak
43.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Kyle Backhus
5.0%
Randy Dobnak
4.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Kyle Backhus
.298
Randy Dobnak
.329
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Kyle Backhus
3.325.04
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.66
3.70
Randy Dobnak
3.325.04
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.50
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Kyle Backhus
1.041.95
now 1.24
1.24
Randy Dobnak
1.041.95
now 1.75
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Kyle Backhus
4021.60
now 10
15
Randy Dobnak
4021.60
now 2
16
Winshigher is better
Kyle Backhus
.000.480
now 0
00
Randy Dobnak
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowKyle Backhus — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Sell HighRandy Dobnak — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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