MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
Kyle Backhus
PHI · P
Change to
Zack Kelly
BOS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Zack Kelly.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Zack Kelly wins 1 categories (K); Kyle Backhus wins 0 (none); 3 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Kyle Backhus
90.7
Zack Kelly
96.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Kyle Backhus
8.7%
Zack Kelly
9.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Kyle Backhus
22.7%
Zack Kelly
19.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Kyle Backhus
30.2%
Zack Kelly
28.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Kyle Backhus
34.0%
Zack Kelly
38.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Kyle Backhus
5.7%
Zack Kelly
8.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Kyle Backhus
.304
Zack Kelly
.368
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Kyle Backhus
2.775.20
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.66
3.70
Zack Kelly
2.775.20
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.31
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Kyle Backhus
1.171.36
now 1.24
1.24
Zack Kelly
1.171.36
now 1.29
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Kyle Backhus
4021.60
now 10
15
Zack Kelly
4021.60
now 14
16
Winshigher is better
Kyle Backhus
.000.480
now 0
00
Zack Kelly
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowKyle Backhus — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Hold · wait & seeZack Kelly — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet