Rest of Season Projection
KyleCategoryTyler
37K →46
3.74ERA →3.68
1.29WHIP1.29
1–2W ←0–0
1–2SV →1–5
Current Season
KyleCategoryTyler
16K →33
1.93ERA →1.63
1.54WHIP →1.27
1W ←0
1SV →2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Kyle Finnegan
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.29)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Tyler Phillips
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.264 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.58 is 1.95 above the ERA — regression coming
Kyle Finnegan: 37 K / 3.74 ERA. Tyler Phillips: 46 K / 3.68 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).