Rest of Season Projection
PhilCategoryTyler
45K →46
3.70ERA →3.68
1.24WHIP ←1.29
0–0W0–0
0SV →1–5
Current Season
PhilCategoryTyler
22K →33
7.23ERA →1.63
1.71WHIP →1.27
0W0
0SV →2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Phil Maton
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.01)
Tyler Phillips
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.264 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.58 is 1.95 above the ERA — regression coming
Phil Maton: 45 K / 3.70 ERA. Tyler Phillips: 46 K / 3.68 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).