MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 15, 2026
Portrait of Kyle Freeland
Kyle Freeland
COL · P
Change to
Portrait of Seth Lugo
Seth Lugo
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Seth Lugo.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and wins.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Seth Lugo wins 3 categories (K, ERA, W); Kyle Freeland wins 1 (WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Kyle Freeland
91.5
Seth Lugo
91.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Kyle Freeland
11.7%
Seth Lugo
8.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Kyle Freeland
19.7%
Seth Lugo
19.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Kyle Freeland
34.0%
Seth Lugo
24.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Kyle Freeland
43.7%
Seth Lugo
43.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Kyle Freeland
11.0%
Seth Lugo
10.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Kyle Freeland
.359
Seth Lugo
.357
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Kyle Freeland
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.06
5.04
Seth Lugo
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.55
5.00
WHIPlower is better
Kyle Freeland
1.181.86
now 1.71
1.33
Seth Lugo
1.181.86
now 1.35
1.39

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Kyle Freeland
4066.80
now 43
48
Seth Lugo
4066.80
now 60
57
Winshigher is better
Kyle Freeland
.2003.80
now 1
12
Seth Lugo
.2003.80
now 2
13

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellKyle Freeland — hold.conf 0.60
SellSeth Lugo — sell.conf 0.90
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