MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 21, 2026
Portrait of Lawrence Butler
Lawrence Butler
ATH · RF
Change to
Portrait of Victor Mesa Jr.
Victor Mesa Jr.
TB · RF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Victor Mesa Jr..

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, and RBI. Lawrence Butler’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Victor Mesa Jr. wins 3 categories (HR, R, RBI); Lawrence Butler wins 2 (SB, AVG).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Lawrence Butler
89.0
Victor Mesa Jr.
88.2
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Lawrence Butler
44.4%
Victor Mesa Jr.
37.8%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Lawrence Butler
5.8%
Victor Mesa Jr.
10.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Lawrence Butler
24.0%
Victor Mesa Jr.
30.6%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Lawrence Butler
13.0%
Victor Mesa Jr.
12.5%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Lawrence Butler
.303
Victor Mesa Jr.
.320
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Lawrence Butler
.200.240
lg AVG .295
now .164
.219
Victor Mesa Jr.
.200.240
lg AVG .295
now .211
.205

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Lawrence Butler
55.20
now 3
3
Victor Mesa Jr.
55.20
now 1
4
Runshigher is better
Lawrence Butler
2024
now 17
17
Victor Mesa Jr.
2024
now 3
18
RBIhigher is better
Lawrence Butler
2024
now 14
14
Victor Mesa Jr.
2024
now 3
18
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Lawrence Butler
.0005.60
now 4
4
Victor Mesa Jr.
.0005.60
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowLawrence Butler — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.67
Hold · wait & seeVictor Mesa Jr. — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet