Rest of Season Projection
LoganCategoryTarik
100K ←96
4.08ERA →3.91
1.16WHIP ←1.25
3–6W →4–9
0SV0
Current Season
LoganCategoryTarik
69K ←45
3.69ERA →2.70
1.11WHIP →0.95
3W3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Logan Gilbert
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.266 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.08 is 0.46 above the ERA — regression coming
Tarik Skubal
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.22)
Logan Gilbert: 102 K / 4.07 ERA. Tarik Skubal: 97 K / 3.91 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).