Rest of Season Projection
NathanCategoryTarik
95K →96
4.43ERA →3.91
1.21WHIP ←1.25
5–10W ←4–9
0SV0
Current Season
NathanCategoryTarik
67K ←45
3.93ERA →2.70
1.11WHIP →0.95
5W ←3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Nathan Eovaldi
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.275 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.61 is 0.35 above the ERA — regression coming
Tarik Skubal
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.22)
Nathan Eovaldi: 96 K / 4.43 ERA. Tarik Skubal: 97 K / 3.91 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).