Rest of Season Projection
NathanCategoryRyan
95K →102
4.43ERA →4.16
1.21WHIP →1.19
5–10W ←2–4
0SV0
Current Season
NathanCategoryRyan
67K →75
3.93ERA →3.52
1.11WHIP ←1.14
5W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Nathan Eovaldi
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.275 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.61 is 0.35 above the ERA — regression coming
Ryan Weathers
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.19)
Nathan Eovaldi: 97 K / 4.42 ERA. Ryan Weathers: 105 K / 4.15 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).