Rest of Season Projection
GraysonCategoryNathan
77K →95
4.10ERA ←4.43
1.30WHIP →1.21
6–14W ←5–10
0SV0
Current Season
GraysonCategoryNathan
14K →67
7.53ERA →3.93
1.67WHIP →1.11
2W →5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Grayson Rodriguez
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (6.64)
Nathan Eovaldi
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.275 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.61 is 0.35 above the ERA — regression coming
Grayson Rodriguez: 79 K / 4.10 ERA. Nathan Eovaldi: 97 K / 4.42 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).