Rest of Season Projection
JustinCategoryTarik
71K →96
4.14ERA →3.91
1.28WHIP →1.25
7–15W ←4–9
0SV0
Current Season
JustinCategoryTarik
40K →45
2.87ERA →2.70
1.01WHIP →0.95
7W ←3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Justin Wrobleski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.16 is 1.22 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Tarik Skubal
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.22)
Justin Wrobleski: 71 K / 4.14 ERA. Tarik Skubal: 96 K / 3.91 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).