Rest of Season Projection
JustinCategoryLanden
79K →113
3.84ERA →3.28
1.28WHIP ←1.34
8–17W ←5–12
0SV0
Current Season
JustinCategoryLanden
40K →72
2.87ERA ←4.22
1.01WHIP ←1.31
7W ←5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Justin Wrobleski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.237 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.84 is 0.97 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Landen Roupp
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.325 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Justin Wrobleski: 79 K / 3.84 ERA. Landen Roupp: 113 K / 3.28 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).