Rest of Season Projection
JustinCategoryLogan
79K →112
3.84ERA ←4.03
1.28WHIP →1.16
8–17W ←3–7
0SV0
Current Season
JustinCategoryLogan
40K →69
2.87ERA ←3.69
1.01WHIP ←1.11
7W ←3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Justin Wrobleski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.237 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.84 is 0.97 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Logan Gilbert
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.03)
Justin Wrobleski: 79 K / 3.84 ERA. Logan Gilbert: 112 K / 4.03 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).