MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Lucas Giolito
Lucas Giolito
SD · P
Change to
Portrait of Sonny Gray
Sonny Gray
BOS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Sonny Gray.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Sonny Gray wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Lucas Giolito wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Lucas Giolito
90.8
Sonny Gray
91.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Lucas Giolito
9.8%
Sonny Gray
11.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Lucas Giolito
13.0%
Sonny Gray
22.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Lucas Giolito
19.0%
Sonny Gray
33.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Lucas Giolito
43.8%
Sonny Gray
37.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Lucas Giolito
4.2%
Sonny Gray
6.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Lucas Giolito
.358
Sonny Gray
.297
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Lucas Giolito
2.305.73
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.97
4.10
Sonny Gray
2.305.73
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.06
3.67
WHIPlower is better
Lucas Giolito
.9801.96
now 1.74
1.30
Sonny Gray
.9801.96
now 1.20
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Lucas Giolito
4055
now 6
7
Sonny Gray
4055
now 41
10
Winshigher is better
Lucas Giolito
.0008
now 2
12
Sonny Gray
.0008
now 6
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeLucas Giolito — hold.conf 0.50
BuySonny Gray — buy.conf 0.73
Tweet