Who's more valuable, rest of season
Too close to call.
They split your categories 2–2. Take whoever fills a bigger need.
Head-to-head
◀
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
▶
SV n/a
Aaron Nola wins 2 (K, ERA); Lucas Giolito wins 2 (WHIP, W); SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Nola
92.3
Lucas Giolito
90.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
12.7%
Lucas Giolito
9.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
24.4%
Lucas Giolito
13.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
32.9%
Lucas Giolito
19.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
40.4%
Lucas Giolito
43.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
9.2%
Lucas Giolito
4.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Nola
.307
Lucas Giolito
.358
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Nola
3.316.19
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.55
3.95
Lucas Giolito
3.316.19
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.97
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Nola
1.121.92
now 1.39
1.31
Lucas Giolito
1.121.92
now 1.74
1.30
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Nola
4087.20
now 64
13
Lucas Giolito
4087.20
now 6
7
Winshigher is better
Aaron Nola
.0004.20
now 3
0–1
Lucas Giolito
.0004.20
now 2
1–2
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyAaron Nola — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeLucas Giolito — hold.conf 0.50