MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Michael Soroka
Michael Soroka
AZ · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Aaron Nola.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Michael Soroka’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Aaron Nola wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Michael Soroka wins 1 (WHIP); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Nola
92.3
Michael Soroka
93.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
12.7%
Michael Soroka
11.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
24.4%
Michael Soroka
23.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
32.9%
Michael Soroka
33.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
40.4%
Michael Soroka
33.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
9.2%
Michael Soroka
8.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Nola
.307
Michael Soroka
.319
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Nola
2.336.47
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.55
3.95
Michael Soroka
2.336.47
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.25
4.22
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Nola
1.121.47
now 1.39
1.31
Michael Soroka
1.121.47
now 1.20
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Nola
4084.80
now 64
13
Michael Soroka
4084.80
now 60
12
Winshigher is better
Aaron Nola
.0009.80
now 3
01
Michael Soroka
.0009.80
now 7
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyAaron Nola — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · leans sellMichael Soroka — hold.conf 0.60
Tweet