Rest of Season Projection
LuinderCategoryPeyton
51K ←37
3.76ERA →3.70
1.27WHIP →1.24
1–3W1–3
0SV0
Current Season
LuinderCategoryPeyton
25K ←18
4.44ERA →3.57
1.71WHIP →1.30
1W1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Luinder Avila
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.356 elevated and unstable — the 6.19 ERA overstates the damage
- xeraNOISEbut luck-free xERA 4.82 is +0.72 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy
Peyton Gray
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.45)
Luinder Avila: 51 K / 3.76 ERA. Peyton Gray: 37 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).