Rest of Season Projection
LuinderCategoryPaxton
51K ←43
3.76ERA →3.72
1.27WHIP →1.24
1–3W ←0–0
0SV →1–3
Current Season
LuinderCategoryPaxton
25K ←24
4.44ERA ←4.91
1.71WHIP →1.36
1W ←0
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Luinder Avila
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.356 elevated and unstable — the 6.19 ERA overstates the damage
- xeraNOISEbut luck-free xERA 4.82 is +0.72 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy
Paxton Schultz
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.78)
Luinder Avila: 51 K / 3.76 ERA. Paxton Schultz: 43 K / 3.72 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).