Rest of Season Projection
LuinderCategoryShawn
51K ←37
3.76ERA →3.70
1.27WHIP →1.24
1–3W1–3
0SV0
Current Season
LuinderCategoryShawn
25K ←19
4.44ERA →3.60
1.71WHIP →1.33
1W1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Luinder Avila
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.356 elevated and unstable — the 6.19 ERA overstates the damage
- xeraNOISEbut luck-free xERA 4.82 is +0.72 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy
Shawn Armstrong
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.15 is 0.83 above the ERA — regression coming
Luinder Avila: 51 K / 3.76 ERA. Shawn Armstrong: 37 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).