Rest of Season Projection
GordonCategoryShawn
22K →37
3.87ERA →3.70
1.27WHIP →1.24
3–8W ←1–3
1–2SV ←0
Current Season
GordonCategoryShawn
14K →19
1.80ERA ←3.60
0.90WHIP ←1.33
4W ←1
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gordon Graceffo
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.163 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.57 is 3.43 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Shawn Armstrong
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.15 is 0.83 above the ERA — regression coming
Gordon Graceffo: 22 K / 3.87 ERA. Shawn Armstrong: 37 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).