Rest of Season Projection
GordonCategoryTyler
22K →29
3.87ERA →3.68
1.27WHIP →1.25
3–8W ←1–2
1–2SV →1–5
Current Season
GordonCategoryTyler
14K →21
1.80ERA ←3.12
0.90WHIP ←1.38
4W ←1
1SV →2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gordon Graceffo
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.163 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.57 is 3.43 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Tyler Alexander
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.26)
Gordon Graceffo: 22 K / 3.87 ERA. Tyler Alexander: 29 K / 3.68 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).