Rest of Season Projection
LuinderCategoryTyler
51K ←29
3.76ERA →3.68
1.27WHIP →1.25
1–3W ←1–2
0SV →1–5
Current Season
LuinderCategoryTyler
25K ←21
4.44ERA →3.12
1.71WHIP →1.38
1W1
0SV →2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Luinder Avila
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.356 elevated and unstable — the 6.19 ERA overstates the damage
- xeraNOISEbut luck-free xERA 4.82 is +0.72 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy
Tyler Alexander
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.26)
Luinder Avila: 51 K / 3.76 ERA. Tyler Alexander: 29 K / 3.68 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).