Rest of Season Projection
ShawnCategoryTyler
37K ←30
3.70ERA →3.68
1.24WHIP ←1.25
1–3W ←1–2
0SV →1–5
Current Season
ShawnCategoryTyler
19K →21
3.60ERA →3.12
1.33WHIP ←1.38
1W1
0SV →2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Shawn Armstrong
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.14 is 0.82 above the ERA — regression coming
Tyler Alexander
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.25)
Shawn Armstrong: 37 K / 3.70 ERA. Tyler Alexander: 30 K / 3.68 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).