Rest of Season Projection
LuisCategoryRafael
9HR →14
35R →37
50RBI ←43
3SB ←0
.284AVG ←.227
Current Season
LuisCategoryRafael
5HR →7
21R →26
30RBI30
2SB ←0
.264AVG ←.251
What Each Player's System Trusts
Luis García Jr.
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.332, +0.017 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Rafael Devers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.285 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Luis García Jr.: 9 HR / 35 R. Rafael Devers: 14 HR / 37 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).