Rest of Season Projection
JoshCategoryRafael
13HR →15
44R ←40
51RBI ←47
2SB ←0
.236AVG ←.230
Current Season
JoshCategoryRafael
5HR →7
28R ←26
32RBI ←30
1SB ←0
.225AVG →.251
What Each Player's System Trusts
Josh Bell
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.304)
Rafael Devers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.291 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Josh Bell: 13 HR / 44 R. Rafael Devers: 15 HR / 40 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).