Rest of Season Projection
LukeCategoryRandal
14HR ←10
41R →42
58RBI ←48
2SB ←0
.234AVG →.289
Current Season
LukeCategoryRandal
13HR ←4
22R ←13
31RBI ←15
1SB ←0
.276AVG ←.250
What Each Player's System Trusts
Luke Raley
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.382, +0.067 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Randal Grichuk
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.376)
Luke Raley: 14 HR / 41 R. Randal Grichuk: 10 HR / 42 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).